L1 – AS Monaco, OM, Rennes: all the scenarios for the Champions League before the 38th day

There are those who refuse to count. And those who engage in apothecary calculations. This Saturday, nothing has yet been decided regarding the identity of the team that will accompany PSG in the group stage of the Champions League 2022-2023. Astounding winners against Brest (4-2), AS Monaco nevertheless seem to be in the best position because they have their destiny in their hands.

With a three-point lead over Rennes and a better goal difference than OM, ASM enjoys a more comfortable mattress than Jorge Sampaoli’s troops. The Olympians can secure the podium with just one small point, but the worst-case scenario also exists, with Rennes going ahead on the gong. As a reminder, here are the criteria that apply in the event of a tie on points between several teams:

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  • 1. General goal difference
  • 2. Highest number of points on direct confrontations
  • 3. Special goal difference
  • 4. Highest number of goals in head-to-head matches
  • 5. Most away goals in head-to-head matches
  • 6. Best Overall Attack
  • 7. Best Away Attack
  • 8. Disciplinary separation

monaco

2nd
68 dots
Goal difference: +25
Trip to Lens

Monaco qualified directly for the Champions League in case of :

  • Victory against Lens and OM do not win
  • Victory against Lens and OM win without catching up on goal difference
  • Draw against Lens if OM draw or lose
  • Defeat against Lens if OM lose (while maintaining a better goal difference than Marseille) and if Rennes do not win

Monaco third and qualified for the 3rd preliminary round of C1 in case of :

  • Result worse than OM, including defeat if Rennes do not win
  • Victory against Lens, and OM win by finishing with an equal or better goal difference (+25 for Monaco, +21 for Marseille)
  • Defeat against Lens, if OM lose with a lower goal difference and if Rennes win

Monaco off the podium in case of :

  • Defeat against Lens, victory for Rennes and victory or draw for OM
  • Defeat against Lens, victory for Rennes and defeat for OM by catching up on goal difference

Wissam Ben Yedder, triple scorer against Brest

Credit: Getty Images

Marseilles

3rd
68 dots
Goal difference: +21
Strasbourg reception

Marseille directly qualified for the Champions League in case of :

  • Victory against Strasbourg and Monaco does not win
  • Victory against Strasbourg sufficient to finish with a better or identical goal difference to that of Monaco (+25 for Monaco, +21 for Marseille)
  • Draw against Strasbourg if Monaco loses
  • Defeat against Strasbourg, defeat for Monaco which allows OM to catch up on goal difference, and Rennes do not win

Marseille third and qualified for the 3rd preliminary round of C1 in case of :

  • Result similar or lower to Monaco, including loss if Rennes do not win
  • Defeat against Strasbourg, defeat for Monaco which allows OM to catch up on goal difference, and Rennes win

Marseille off the podium in case of :

  • Defeat against Strasbourg without overtaking Monaco on goal difference and victory for Rennes*

Disappointment for Gerson and Caleta-Car: OM conceded the opener in Rennes – 05/14/2022, 37th day of Ligue 1

Credit: Imago

reindeer

4th
65 dots
Goal difference: + 42
Trip to Lille

Rennes directly qualified for the Champions League in case of :

  • Victory against Lille, if Monaco and OM lose

Rennes third and qualified for the 3rd preliminary round of C1 in case of :

  • Victory against Lille, if Monaco loses but not OM
  • Victory against Lille, if OM lose but not Monaco

*NB: In the results presented above, we considered it impossible for Rennes to lose their advantage on goal difference, given the extent of it over Monaco and OM.

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